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RC Deportivo vs Alaves

Sat 15 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 36 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

RC Deportivo win: 40.6%

Draw: 35.8%

Alaves win: 23.6%

Predicted: RC Deportivo

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 47.8%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 43.7%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.67

More corners: RC Deportivo (52.8% home / 47.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: RC Deportivo

Yes

Probability RC Deportivo wins or draws: 73.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (41.0% model probability) Low

Total Goals Under 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat RC Deportivo win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (74.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.